China Halts Boeing Jet Deliveries; Goldman Sachs Predicts $800B US Equity Offload

Economy News
Total 1487 words · 6 mins read

Key Takeaways

  • China halts Boeing jet deliveries and purchases of aircraft-related equipment.
  • Goldman Sachs estimates US investors may offload $800B in Chinese equities.
  • Nvidia's stock fell 6.9% after US ban on microprocessor sales to Beijing.
  • WTO expects world trade to decline 0.2% in 2025 due to tariffs.
  • China imports record Canadian crude, cutting US oil purchases by roughly 90%.

Top Stories

Beijing targets Boeing, halts jet deliveries

On April 16, 2025, reports indicated that Beijing is targeting Boeing. Chinese airlines have been ordered to halt further deliveries of Boeing jets and cease purchases of aircraft-related equipment and parts from U.S. companies.

Goldman: US investors may offload $800B Chinese equities

On April 17, 2025, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. estimated that US investors could be forced to offload around $800 billion of Chinese equities "in an extreme scenario" of financial decoupling between the US and China.

Nvidia ban causes market turmoil; stock falls 6.9%

Reported on April 17, 2025, the US president's ban on Nvidia selling microprocessors to Beijing continued to cause financial market turmoil. Nvidia's stock fell by 6.9%, dragging down US technology stocks and the Nasdaq, which lost 3.07%.

WTO: World trade to decline 0.2% in 2025

Published on 2025-04-16, the WTO expects the volume of world merchandise trade to decline by 0.2% in 2025, based on current tariffs and a 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs, before a modest recovery of 2.5% in 2026. The World Trade Organization (WTO) predicted a historical contraction of world trade in 2025 due to the "tempête Trump," revising its forecasts from a 2.7% growth to a decline of between 0.2% and 1.5%.

China imports record Canadian crude, cuts US oil

Published on 2025-04-16, the article reports that Chinese refiners are importing record amounts of Canadian crude after slashing purchases of US oil by roughly 90% amid escalating trade tensions.

Economic Trends

Trump's tariffs fuel global economic upheaval

Reported on April 17, 2025, escalating tariffs by Donald Trump are creating conditions for a global economic upheaval. Tariffs on Chinese imports are at 145% since April 10, 2025, and China retaliated with 125% tariffs on April 11, 2025.

Fed committed to preventing tariff-driven inflation

On April 16, 2025, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the central bank's commitment to preventing tariffs from causing a sustained increase in inflation. He also stated at the Economic Club of Chicago that the central bank will never be influenced by any political pressure, emphasizing that "Our independence is a matter of law."

WTO forecasts 12.6% export drop in North America

The WTO forecasts a steep decline in North America in 2025, with exports expected to drop by 12.6%, according to a report published on 2025-04-16. According to a report published on 2025-04-16, North America's external trade is expected to decline by 1.7% in 2025, dragging global trade down.

WTO warns of severe downside risks in 2025

Published on 2025-04-16, the WTO warned of severe downside risks in 2025, including reciprocal tariffs and policy uncertainty, potentially leading to a sharper decline of 1.5% in global goods trade, particularly hurting export-oriented, least-developed countries.

North America to drag down global trade in 2025

According to the WTO, North America is projected to subtract 1.7 percentage points from global merchandise trade growth in 2025, while Asia and Europe will contribute positively, but less than previously expected, with Asia's input halved to 0.6 percentage point. The report was published on 2025-04-16.

Services growth to remain below 4% in 2025

A report published on 2025-04-16 indicates that the growth of services, such as tourism or software sales, which are exempt from customs duties, should not exceed 4% in 2025.

Global goods trade to recover in 2026: WTO

Published on 2025-04-16, the report forecasts that the global trade in goods should return to a modest growth of 2.5% in 2026.

Market Insights

Zhongrong Trust deemed insolvent after real estate losses

Bloomberg reported on 2025-04-16 that Zhongrong International Trust Co. was recently deemed insolvent by state-appointed custodians on 2025-04-14, who submitted a winding-up proposal to regulators. This occurred after the company faced government intervention due to losses on real estate and other investments, impacting the $3.7 trillion industry.

Nvidia warns of $5.5B write-downs on China ban

Published on 2025-04-16, Nvidia warned of potential $5.5 billion in write-downs due to a US ban on selling its H20 chip in China. ASML reported disappointing first-quarter bookings. Tesla shares fell after halting plans to ship components from China for its Cybercab and Semi trucks, citing increased tariff costs. United Airlines' shares rose after releasing two earnings scenarios.

Fund managers sell emerging market oil debt

On 2025-04-16, it was reported that fund managers are selling debt of oil companies in emerging markets due to falling energy prices and the global trade war. Petroleos Mexicanos bonds experienced their biggest weekly loss since 2020 earlier this month, and Gran Tierra's notes tumbled the most on record in April.

United CEO cites economic uncertainty, offers two forecasts

On 2025-04-16, United CEO Scott Kirby discussed offering two earnings forecasts due to economic uncertainty, mentioning the best first-quarter performance in five years. The company's outlook depends on the macro environment. He also addressed recession risk and the company's strategy.

Steel, aluminum makers brace for tariff impact

Steel and aluminum makers are bracing for the impact of President Donald Trump's tariffs on their first-quarter earnings, as reported on April 16, 2025. The 25% levy on metal imports has boosted prices, potentially improving the financial outlook for US producers.

Investment-grade bond sales slump in 2025

On April 16, 2025, reports indicated that there have been 22 days with no investment-grade bond sales this year, one of the highest of the last decade, worse than during the early part of the Covid-19 pandemic as of April 9, 2025. Companies are expected to sell nearly another $1 trillion of high-grade bonds in the US this year.

United cuts capacity due to weak domestic demand

On 2025-04-16, it was reported that United is pulling about four points of capacity from the second half of the year due to weakness in demand, particularly in the low-end domestic consumer market. International travel has stabilized, with the weakest area being the low-end domestic consumer in the United States.

Hermès sales slow in Asia due to China demand

Hermès International SCA reported first-quarter sales in Asia Pacific excluding Japan rose 1.2% at constant exchange rates, below analyst expectations, as reported on April 17, 2025. The sales were impacted by a slowdown in Chinese luxury demand.

US-China Tensions

China dismisses US tariffs, targets services sector

On April 16, 2025, China announced it would no longer retaliate against U.S. tariffs, dismissing further increases as a "joke." Instead, China will focus on measures targeting the American services sector.

Trump open to China deal if Beijing moves first

On April 16, 2025, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt stated Trump is open to a deal with China if Beijing makes the first move. A Chinese spokesperson responded that Beijing is open to negotiations but the U.S. must cease "threats and blackmailing."

Beijing may curb US legal firms, investigate companies

On April 16, 2025, a social media account linked to Xinhua News Agency suggested Beijing might curb U.S. legal consultancy firms. The account also mentioned investigating U.S. companies' China operations for alleged "monopoly benefits" from intellectual-property rights.

China to reduce US film imports, travel warnings

On April 16, 2025, reports indicated that China would reduce imports of U.S. films and cautioned citizens against traveling or studying in the U.S. This signals pressure on the U.S. entertainment, tourism, and education sectors.

Trump reduces tariffs to 10% for 90 days

Published on 2025-04-16, the article mentions that following market turbulence after the tariff announcement, President Trump announced last week that new duties on imports from most trading partners would be reduced to 10% for 90 days to allow for trade negotiations. The American customs agency announced temporary exemptions for smartphones, computers, and chips from punitive levies, but President Trump later stated that these exemptions would be temporary.

China seeks cyberattackers, promotes domestic tech

On April 16, 2025, Chinese police issued notices to apprehend three individuals accused of cyberattacks against China on behalf of the U.S. National Security Agency. Chinese state media also urged users to replace American technology with domestic alternatives.

Consumer Sentiment

Chinese consumers save more due to 'fear'

On 2025-04-16, Rock Creek Group Founder and CEO Afsaneh Beschloss stated on "Bloomberg Markets" that Chinese consumers save more than US consumers "because they feel fear."

Couples cut wedding budgets amid recession fears

Published on 2025-04-16, a report indicates that couples are cutting wedding budgets and delaying weddings due to a sinking stock market and recession fears causing a pullback on big purchases. One couple slashed $75,000 from their $400,000 Manhattan wedding budget set for later this year.

Energy Sector Watch

BP's strategy reset pressured by oil price plunge

On 2025-04-16, BP’s strategy reset is under pressure after oil’s plunge to $65, according to a report published on the same day. Published on 2025-04-16, the article mentions that last week, BP gave a gloomy overview of its first quarter performance.

China gains access to Alberta's crude reserves

A pipeline expansion in Western Canada that opened less than a year ago has presented China and other East Asian oil importers with expanded access to the vast crude reserves in Alberta’s oilsands region, according to a report published on 2025-04-16.

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