Gold hits record high at $3,385+; China halts US LNG imports
Key Takeaways
- Gold prices surged to a record high, exceeding $3,385 per ounce on April 21, 2025.
- China halted US LNG imports in March 2025, with US wheat purchases also falling to zero.
- Global central banks are preparing for interest-rate cuts due to US trade war fallout.
- Global funds bought a record ¥2.18T of Japan's super-long bonds amid tariff fears.
- Bitcoin rose to over $87,600, its highest since Trump's tariff announcements.
Top Stories
Gold hits record high: $3,385+ amid dollar weakness
On April 21, 2025, gold prices surged to a record high, exceeding $3,385 per ounce. This rally was fueled by a weakening US dollar, President Trump's criticism of the Federal Reserve, and persistent trade war anxieties, as noted by Fed Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee's warning against undermining the Fed's independence.
China halts US LNG imports in March 2025
China halted imports of US liquefied natural gas (LNG) in March 2025, following a significant drop in the previous two months, as reported on April 21, 2025. Purchases of US wheat also fell to zero, contributing to a 70% drop in US LNG shipments during the first quarter of 2025.
Global central banks prepare for rate cuts
On April 20, 2025, Bloomberg reported that global central banks are preparing for interest-rate cuts. This is a preemptive measure to shield their economies from the potential fallout of US President Donald Trump’s trade war.
Record ¥2.18T Japan bonds bought amid tariff fears
On April 21, 2025, it was reported that global funds purchased a record ¥2.18 trillion ($15.5 billion) of Japan's super-long government bonds last month. This was driven by heightened risk aversion related to US tariff policies; overall purchases across all maturities reached ¥6.03 trillion, the second highest since 2004.
Bitcoin hits highest since Trump's tariff announcements
On April 21, 2025, Bitcoin rose to its highest level since Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcements, reaching over $87,600. This increase occurred as the dollar weakened amid concerns about President Trump's actions regarding the Federal Reserve Chairman.
Corporate Moves
AVIC Trust seeks help after payment delays
On April 21, 2025, China’s state-owned AVIC Trust Co. sought assistance from CCB Trust Co. and SDIC Taikang Trust Co. after delaying payments on some investment products. The two state-owned financial institutions will handle AVIC Trust’s daily operations and management.
Firms hire amid tariff-induced JGB market turmoil
On April 21, 2025, it was reported that Capula Investment Management LLP is recruiting Deutsche Bank AG’s Masahiko Maihara, and Singapore-based Dymon Asia Capital has hired Barclays Plc’s Shumei Kameyama. This comes as tariff-induced turmoil sweeps the Japanese government bond market.
Malaysia Aviation eyes Boeing slots vacated by China
Malaysia Aviation Group Bhd. is reportedly in talks with Boeing Co. to potentially acquire delivery slots that were vacated by Chinese carriers, as published on April 21, 2025.
Economic Trends
South Korea, US to begin trade negotiations
South Korea and the US are scheduled to commence trade negotiations this week, starting on Thursday at 8 am local time in Washington, due to the impact of tariffs on South Korea's economy. The meeting will include Secretary of Treasury Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, South Korea’s Finance Minister Choi Sang-mok, and Industry Minister Ahn Duk-geun.
China's Q1 GDP growth relies heavily on exports
Published on April 21, 2025, the article indicates that nearly 40% of China’s first-quarter GDP expansion (5.4%) was driven by net exports. This marks the highest share for this period in over a decade, signaling a growing dependence on foreign demand.
India, US to hold trade talks this week
On April 21, 2025, it was reported that India’s Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will meet US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in Washington this week for trade talks.
Geopolitical Risks
Trump's tariffs roil global markets: Martin Wolf analysis
On April 21, 2025, Odd Lots featured Martin Wolf of the Financial Times discussing the implications of President Trump's tariffs on global trade. Bloomberg also released a podcast featuring Martin Wolf discussing President Trump's new tariffs and the resulting impact on international politics, noting that President Trump's unveiling of sweeping tariffs against pretty much every single US trading partner has roiled global markets and is shaking up international politics.
Market Insights
Analysts slash US earnings estimates amid slowdown risk
On April 21, 2025, it was reported that analysts are reducing earnings estimates in the US due to the risk of a severe economic slowdown, according to Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson. The S&P 500’s earnings revisions breadth is now at levels rarely witnessed.
Indian lenders' shares rise amid tariff turmoil
On April 21, 2025, a gauge of Indian lenders’ shares rose to a record high. This reflects investor optimism about the sector's resilience to tariff-related turmoil.
Lee Jae-myung pledges stock market reforms
On April 20, 2025, South Korean presidential front-runner Lee Jae-myung pledged to improve the country's stock market by reforming corporate governance and addressing stock manipulation. He also aims for inclusion in MSCI Inc.'s developed markets list, as reported on April 21, 2025.
Emerging market bonds outperform amid trade uncertainty
On April 20, 2025, it was reported that emerging market local-currency bonds are performing strongly this year, outperforming dollar-denominated bonds. This is due to global trade uncertainty, expected interest rate cuts in developing nations, and decreasing oil prices; dollar bonds are underperforming due to US President Donald Trump's tariff threats.
Emerging market currencies gain as dollar weakens
On April 21, 2025, emerging market currencies rose as the US dollar weakened due to concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence. The Bloomberg Asia Dollar Index increased, with the Thai baht and Malaysian ringgit showing strong performance.
Tariff Turmoil
Cosco warns of trade instability from US levies
On April 21, 2025, Cosco Shipping Holdings Co., China’s largest shipping line, warned that the Trump administration’s plan to impose levies on Chinese vessels docking at US ports would destabilize global trade and supply chains. The US proposed this plan last week.
China plastics face shutdowns amid trade war
On April 21, 2025, it was reported that Chinese plastics factories, heavily reliant on ethane imports from the US, are facing potential shutdowns. This is due to tariffs on American goods, which will make plants that cannot process substitute raw materials unprofitable.
Muller warns of inflation from US tariffs
On April 21, 2025, Madis Muller cautioned that US trade tariffs and higher public spending in Germany could fuel inflation. He also noted the lack of consensus on the next policy decision.
Philippine billionaire concerned about tariff impacts
On April 21, 2025, Philippine billionaire Jaime Augusto Zobel de Ayala expressed concerns that potential benefits from lower US tariffs for the Philippines might be negated by negative impacts on its trading partners due to the same tariffs.